Opus 2020-076: A Glimmer

If you are looking for a ray of hope on the Chinavirus you have one this morning.

I am not interested in headlines and the filters put on by media or bloggers.  I try to look for raw numbers and try to interpret them myself.  With that in mind, I confess that I don’t know any more than anyone else, probably less.  One of the sites I find that gives numbers is Worldmeter.  If you have not seen it yet and want data, check it out.  I don’t pay a lot of attention to the number of cases because that is totally dependent on how much testing is being done and how reliable the tests are.  Interesting but not telling us much.  I also discount numbers that come from China or other countries with totalitarian governments.  What I focus on is the number of deaths each day.

Yesterday we had a major turn-down in death reported in both the Untied States and the world.  It could be only a blip.  It could be a lack of reporting.  It could be the unicorns have finally been corralled.  It is still a ray of hope.  Here are the numbers for new deaths in the US starting on March 24:

March 24    225
March 25    247
March 26    268
March 27    400
March 28     525
March 29     264

As you can see we seemed to be spiking on the 27th and 28th and then had a dramatic drop on the 29th.  One day does not a pattern make.  Don’t break out the sparkling cider yet.  But it is still a positive step. 

Keep washing your hands and avoid unicorns.

homo unius libri